Endurance Lab tools

Race time predictor and race-day plan

Pick your race, add a recent result and the weather, and get your predicted time adjusted for hills and heat. Then get the full report by email: pacing, fuelling and course notes.

1. Your recent race

Use a recent all-out race on a fairly flat course in mild weather.

2. Your target race

Race-day weather (optional)

Filled in with the typical weather for the race month. Change it to the forecast closer to race day.

For your fuelling plan (optional)

Before we send your report: your gels

Check the label on the gel you train with. We use this to build your gel-by-gel race timeline. Already training your gut to take more carbs? Set your own hourly target.

Get your full race report by email: your pacing plan split by split, carbohydrate, fluid and sodium per hour for this finish time, a gel-by-gel race timeline, and course notes.

How it works

One recent race predicts the rest.

The formula

Predictions use the Riegel formula, which scales your time by distance with a small allowance for slowing down over longer races.

Use a real race

A recent, all-out race on a flat course gives the best prediction. A training run will underestimate you.

Longer is harder

The marathon prediction assumes you have done the long runs. Without them, expect to be slower.

Pace it evenly

Most runners start too fast. Even pacing, or a slightly faster second half, gives the best result.

Next step

Turn the prediction into a race.

Running plans

5K, 10K and half marathon plans built on the Endurance Lab 7-zone method. See the plans →

Fuelling calculator

Carbohydrate, fluid and sodium per hour for your race. Plan my fuelling →

Dublin Marathon coaching

A plan built around you and the Dublin course. See race coaching →